How often are you right? - Nubblies.net Forums

thekremlin · 12-24-2010, 08:48 AM

This is an interesting question maybe worth discussing. How often do you think you're right? So on any given topic, obviously you think you're right, otherwise you would think something else. But most people aren't so naive as to think that their opinions are right 100% of the time. So taken as a whole, how often do you think your opinion is the right one?

To make this relevant, let's normalize it to questions that are 50-50. So questions about gun control, which probably are about 50-50, count much more than "Are cigarettes bad for you?" which probably 95% of the people agree to.

I suspect that almost no one will think they're right less than half the time, even though by the way I've (tried to) word it, by definition, everyone averages to 50%. It's like the fact that the average driver rates himself above average, but more so, because none of us can think of an opinion that we think we're wrong about... again by definition.

I'm not an exception. I have a lot of strong opinions, mostly with a liberal slant. I can point to having a top-rate education and being well-read and say "So you would expect me to be right more often than average." And in fact that's kind of what I'm going to do, and rate myself at 75%.

Mr. Blonde · 12-24-2010, 08:56 AM

Asking someone to be objective about how often they think they're right is kinda flawed from the start, isn't it? Any reasonable person is probably going to score themselves lower than they actually are.

Ugly Bastard · 12-24-2010, 09:54 AM

This is one of the most retarded polls I've ever seen.

DDTempest · 12-24-2010, 10:23 AM

Among you geniuses, I would venture a 50ish% average ... among the day to day discussions I participate in, I would go 80+% because I tend not to open my mouth unless I know what I am talking about among the general public.

Cocktooth · 12-24-2010, 12:14 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DDTempest

Among you geniuses, I would venture a 50ish% average ... among the day to day discussions I participate in, I would go 80+% because I tend not to open my mouth unless I know what I am talking about among the general public.

That's not true. If it was, you would only talk about spok and chewbacca, along with over priced pharmacuitical goods.

angry pancake · 12-24-2010, 12:25 PM

80-100%
Mainly because "I don't know" is my default answer.

SittinOnDubsWGW · 12-24-2010, 06:28 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by angry pancake

80-100%
Mainly because "I don't know" is my default answer.

Definitely. I've never been afraid to admit if I don't know something.

Repugnant Abomination · 12-24-2010, 07:27 PM

I'm right all the time. If you don't believe me, just ask me.

THEINCREDIBLEdork · 12-25-2010, 03:25 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by DDTempest

Among you geniuses, I would venture a 50ish% average ... among the day to day discussions I participate in, I would go 80+% because I tend not to open my mouth unless I know what I am talking about among the general public.

This. Except it's true in my case. And i don't open my mouth unless it 95+% sure.

f3lix · 12-25-2010, 09:54 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Mistoffelees

This. Except it's true in my case. And i don't open my mouth unless it 95+% sure.

Which is why you hardly ever say something valuable on nubblies.

THEINCREDIBLEdork · 12-25-2010, 10:21 AM

What's the last valuable thing you've posted?

DDTempest · 12-26-2010, 10:22 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Shaw

That's not true. If it was, you would only talk about spok and chewbacca, along with over priced pharmacuitical goods.

Pointed out the errors in the post you made claiming I'm stupid. Merry Christmas

.

THEINCREDIBLEdork · 01-01-2011, 06:24 PM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Mistoffelees

What's the last valuable thing you've posted?

F3lix spent about a week trying to think of anything valuable he's posted on these forums recently and couldn't think of any. So he decided to neg rep me today for this post calling him out for being a hypocrite.

f3lix · 01-01-2011, 08:57 PM

ID, I negrepped you for your over-used "no, you" style of responding to posts. You've become fucking worthless around here and don't provide anything of value anymore. When I call you out on it, you try to put the focus on me, instead of doing the entire board a favor by waking up from your drugged out slumber. You used to be funny, but now you're just taking up space.

THEINCREDIBLEdork · 01-01-2011, 09:56 PM

What's the last valuable thing you've posted?

THEINCREDIBLEdork · 01-01-2011, 10:40 PM

F3lix, I have nothing to prove around here, especially to you. I'm not here to entertain you. I'm only here for the internets, and as you can see I have many, many internets.

You're a silly, pompous, Mr. Knowitall caricature that makes me laugh and shake my head every time you attempt a 'serious' post. For example, your Black Swan review just tickled me pink. I can just see you sitting in the theater sitting on the edge of your seat, like you're sitting on a golden dildo, your head on a swivel not actually paying any attention to the movie looking at everyone else in the theater. Thinking, this movie is art, I love art! In your own imagination you see everyone else in the theater with a confused look on their face. "This movie is confusing to me but I get it. I'm the only person in this theater that probably really knows whats going on! No one could possibly comprehend this movie on the level I do."

Saint DH · 01-02-2011, 01:24 AM

OH SHIT F3LIX! NOW TELL ME WAT U GON DO?

f3lix · 01-02-2011, 02:15 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by Mr. Mistoffelees

What's the last valuable thing you've posted?

Another perfect example of you playing the "no, you" line.

My Black Swan comments were based on audibly hearing people saying "I don't get it" and "That was weird" and "That was confusing." My initial thought was to tell people to only go see the movie with others who have a brain, but that would take away from how great the movie is and felt it deserved praise instead of criticism of it being beyond 75% of its audience.

Mr. Blonde · 01-02-2011, 02:46 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by f3lix

Another perfect example of you playing the "no, you" line.

My Black Swan comments were based on audibly hearing people saying "I don't get it" and "That was weird" and "That was confusing." My initial thought was to tell people to only go see the movie with others who have a brain, but that would take away from how great the movie is and felt it deserved praise instead of criticism of it being beyond 75% of its audience.

I think part of it is your air of superiority over something relatively commonplace, when in reality one has to realize how genuinely retarded most of the American public is. In the land of the blind sort of thing.

f3lix · 01-02-2011, 02:56 AM

I am who I am and will not sugar coat things for others.

Mr. Blonde · 01-02-2011, 03:06 AM

Quote:

Originally Posted by f3lix

I am who I am and will not sugar coat things for others.

Self introspection about the possibility of your own fallibility is not sugarcoating. It's being a reasonable human being.

f3lix · 01-02-2011, 03:44 AM

I actually felt sorry for those who didn't get it

SittinOnDubsWGW · 01-04-2011, 06:26 PM

f3lix, what he's saying is, you're not that smart. The average person is just really fucking dumb.

f3lix · 01-04-2011, 06:50 PM

Once again... this is not about me. Please stay on task. Start a new thread if you want to talk about these side topics.

THEINCREDIBLEdork · 01-04-2011, 07:24 PM

The conversation is currently on topic. It was on topic until you decided to insult me. After which, I got the topic back on track by bringing up your movie review.

People overestimate their intelligence, and there is a correlation between the more incompetent you are the more you overestimate. It's true because it's on wikipedia.
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_superiority.

View Poll Results: How often do you think you're right?
All the time	3	25.00%
80-100%	8	66.67%
60-80%	1	8.33%
40-60%	0	0%
20-40%	0	0%
Voters: 12. You may not vote on this poll

12-24-2010, 08:48 AM	#1 (permalink)
thekremlin Don't call me Shirley Join Date: Jun 2010 Location: London Posts: 3,271 Internets: 220249	How often are you right? This is an interesting question maybe worth discussing. How often do you think you're right? So on any given topic, obviously you think you're right, otherwise you would think something else. But most people aren't so naive as to think that their opinions are right 100% of the time. So taken as a whole, how often do you think your opinion is the right one? To make this relevant, let's normalize it to questions that are 50-50. So questions about gun control, which probably are about 50-50, count much more than "Are cigarettes bad for you?" which probably 95% of the people agree to. I suspect that almost no one will think they're right less than half the time, even though by the way I've (tried to) word it, by definition, everyone averages to 50%. It's like the fact that the average driver rates himself above average, but more so, because none of us can think of an opinion that we think we're wrong about... again by definition. I'm not an exception. I have a lot of strong opinions, mostly with a liberal slant. I can point to having a top-rate education and being well-read and say "So you would expect me to be right more often than average." And in fact that's kind of what I'm going to do, and rate myself at 75%.

12-25-2010, 10:21 AM	#11 (permalink)
THEINCREDIBLEdork Emperor Meow Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 9,353 Internets: 290966	What's the last valuable thing you've posted?
	#YOLO

01-01-2011, 09:56 PM	#15 (permalink)
THEINCREDIBLEdork Emperor Meow Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 9,353 Internets: 290966	What's the last valuable thing you've posted?
	#YOLO

01-01-2011, 10:40 PM	#16 (permalink)
THEINCREDIBLEdork Emperor Meow Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 9,353 Internets: 290966	F3lix, I have nothing to prove around here, especially to you. I'm not here to entertain you. I'm only here for the internets, and as you can see I have many, many internets. You're a silly, pompous, Mr. Knowitall caricature that makes me laugh and shake my head every time you attempt a 'serious' post. For example, your Black Swan review just tickled me pink. I can just see you sitting in the theater sitting on the edge of your seat, like you're sitting on a golden dildo, your head on a swivel not actually paying any attention to the movie looking at everyone else in the theater. Thinking, this movie is art, I love art! In your own imagination you see everyone else in the theater with a confused look on their face. "This movie is confusing to me but I get it. I'm the only person in this theater that probably really knows whats going on! No one could possibly comprehend this movie on the level I do."
	#YOLO

12-24-2010, 08:56 AM	#2 (permalink)
Mr. Blonde Spice Master Join Date: Jan 2004 Posts: 17,969 Internets: 284106	Asking someone to be objective about how often they think they're right is kinda flawed from the start, isn't it? Any reasonable person is probably going to score themselves lower than they actually are.

12-24-2010, 09:54 AM	#3 (permalink)
Ugly Bastard Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2002 Location: U.S.A. Posts: 13,643 Internets: 247330	This is one of the most retarded polls I've ever seen.

12-24-2010, 07:27 PM	#8 (permalink)
Repugnant Abomination Almost there... Join Date: Feb 2005 Posts: 5,979 Internets: 164547	I'm right all the time. If you don't believe me, just ask me.

01-01-2011, 08:57 PM	#14 (permalink)
f3lix Gangnam Style Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: DH's Massage Parlor Posts: 6,383 Internets: 213510	ID, I negrepped you for your over-used "no, you" style of responding to posts. You've become fucking worthless around here and don't provide anything of value anymore. When I call you out on it, you try to put the focus on me, instead of doing the entire board a favor by waking up from your drugged out slumber. You used to be funny, but now you're just taking up space.

01-02-2011, 01:24 AM	#17 (permalink)
Saint DH Senior Member Join Date: Feb 2002 Posts: 6,150 Internets: 284753	OH SHIT F3LIX! NOW TELL ME WAT U GON DO?

01-02-2011, 02:56 AM	#20 (permalink)
f3lix Gangnam Style Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: DH's Massage Parlor Posts: 6,383 Internets: 213510	I am who I am and will not sugar coat things for others.

01-02-2011, 03:44 AM	#22 (permalink)
f3lix Gangnam Style Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: DH's Massage Parlor Posts: 6,383 Internets: 213510	I actually felt sorry for those who didn't get it

01-04-2011, 06:26 PM	#23 (permalink)
SittinOnDubsWGW I make bad decisions. Join Date: Dec 2004 Location: The Desert Posts: 3,018 Internets: 108015	f3lix, what he's saying is, you're not that smart. The average person is just really fucking dumb.

01-04-2011, 06:50 PM	#24 (permalink)
f3lix Gangnam Style Join Date: Oct 2003 Location: DH's Massage Parlor Posts: 6,383 Internets: 213510	Once again... this is not about me. Please stay on task. Start a new thread if you want to talk about these side topics.

01-04-2011, 07:24 PM	#25 (permalink)
THEINCREDIBLEdork Emperor Meow Join Date: Sep 2004 Posts: 9,353 Internets: 290966	The conversation is currently on topic. It was on topic until you decided to insult me. After which, I got the topic back on track by bringing up your movie review. People overestimate their intelligence, and there is a correlation between the more incompetent you are the more you overestimate. It's true because it's on wikipedia. http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Illusory_superiority.
	#YOLO Last edited by THEINCREDIBLEdork; 01-04-2011 at 07:29 PM.

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