Quote:
Originally Posted by f3lix
Apparently most of you missed why I was needling FC - the dow went below 10,500 yesterday and I won the bet.
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F3lix, you're a poker player, right? So hopefully you understand the concept of "expected value," or "edge."
You bet even money on something that was only about a 1/3 chance of happening. Yes, it happened, and yes I am going to pay out. Would I do the same bet again? Yes. Because my side of the bet was positive expected value. You shouldn't be bragging about this.